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Big Blog
Sunday, November 27, 2005
6 in a row
Mood:  lucky
Now Playing: I just won 6 solitare games in a row!
Topic: Normal

Ok, this may not seem like a big deal to anyone else, but then again, some of the things I write may not be a big deal to anyone else either. So who cares. I just won 6 solitare games in a row. This is neat to me, so just be happy for me (nod and say "that's nice").

I had begun my nightly game of solitare (played to strengthen my mind, not for lack of no life) and I first noticed that I had won the first deal that was presented to me. As I played along, I won the second game and was a little excited at the fact that I had won two games in a row. Shoving it off as mere luck, I played another game (I either play till I lose [which normally happens quickly] or I play until I've won a game or two). I also won that game, and spread the word around of my achievement. (Yes, I do realize you can see where this is going) I got something to drink and proceeded to see what would happen if I continued, cautioning myself to not get cocky. As I played this deal I realized soon that I would have four wins behind me. "see what happens when you don't get cocky and full of yourself, and actually still concentrate and play the game," I thought to myself. This proved useful as I played through the fifth game. I was going along as smoothly as any other deal I had played before when I got into a pickle. I did not have anywhere to move anything, except for the four discard piles, but moving up there what I had on the field would not prove useful. So I moved a couple cards from the discard piles, to the discard piles and then the key card revealed itself. The game, after that, was over quickly.
Number 5! I ran to tell my brother. He was unamused because I only draw one card from the deck at a time, instead of the usual three. Hey! If they didn't want people to be able to draw only one card, the program would not have that option. Oh, by the way, I was playing the solitare that comes with Windows. Proof that I did not cheat (unless you count the one card draw as cheating).
So I am now repeating to my self not to get cocky, and instead of relying on "bad luck, good luck," I started to remind myself of what I learned in Statistics class. The laws of chance and probability. If you flip a coin 100 times and it lands on heads 68% of the time, you do not have a 68% chance of getting heads on the 101st flip. There is only two options, and on a normal coin there are only two sides (the coin having a similar weight on both side of the coin). You will either get heads or tails on a single flip. That's only a 50% chance of getting heads. So the number of heads before the 101st flip does not help determine the chance of getting heads on the 101st flip. Likewise, the number of times I won Solitare before does not determine my chance of winning the next game I play. It is simply my stats of how many games I have won versus how many games I have lost, up to that point in time. Well, book smarts don't help at all, because I lost the seventh game.
And, oh ya, I won the Sixth, but lost the seventh. You gotta admit, that's pretty neat. I won six games in a row. Six. Well, I thought it was neat.
So basically, don't get cocky about things, and pay attention in school, because I must haved missed something in stats class. That only makes sense, since I was winning until I thought about statistics. So school is useful if you pay attention, and if you (ya, you sitting there stareing at the screen) don't pay attention in school, then maybe you should cause you wouldn't lose at solitare.

Big, out.

Posted by Big the Fat Tiger at 11:19 PM CST

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